.

Report: Jersey Shore to Face Record Flooding by Mid-Century

Scientific study says Jersey Shore will see a sea level rise of about 1.5 feet by 2050

Geoscientists at Rutgers and Tufts universities estimate that the Jersey Shore will likely experience a sea-level rise of about 1.5 feet by 2050 and of about 3.5 feet by 2100 – 11 to 15 inches higher than the average for sea-level rise globally over the century, according to a story posted on newjerseynewsroom.com.

That would mean, the scientists say, that by the middle of the century, the one-in-10 year flood level at Atlantic City would exceed any flood known there from the observational record, including Superstorm Sandy.

Ken Miller, Robert Kopp, Benjamin Horton and James Browning of Rutgers and Andrew Kemp of Tufts base their projections in part upon an analysis of historic and modern-day records of sea-level rise in the U.S. mid-Atlantic region. 

Their research appears in the inaugural issue of the journal Earth’s Future, published this week by the American Geophysical Union. It builds upon a recent study by Kemp, Horton and others that reconstructed a 2,500-year record of sea level at the New Jersey shore. 

Horton is a professor of marine and coastal sciences in Rutgers’ School of Environmental and Biological Sciences; Kemp is an assistant professor of earth and ocean sciences at Tufts.

“It’s clear from both the tide gauge and geological records that sea level has been rising in the mid-Atlantic region at a foot per century as a result of global average sea-level rise and the solid earth’s ongoing adjustment to the end of the last ice age,” said Miller, a professor of earth and planetary sciences in Rutgers’ School of Arts and Sciences.

“In the sands of the New Jersey coastal plain, sea level is also rising by another four inches per century because of sediment compaction – due partly to natural forces and partly to groundwater withdrawal. But the rate of sea-level rise, globally and regionally, is increasing due to melting of ice sheets and the warming of the oceans.”

Sea-level rise in the mid-Atlantic region also results from changes in ocean dynamics, the scientists said. “Most ocean models project that the Gulf Stream will weaken as a result of climate change – perhaps causing as much as a foot of additional regional sea-level rise over this century,” said Kopp, an assistant professor of Earth and planetary sciences and associate director of the Rutgers Energy Institute.

To read entire story, click on link above.

Boards

More »
Got a question? Something on your mind? Talk to your community, directly.
Note Article
Just a short thought to get the word out quickly about anything in your neighborhood.
Share something with your neighbors.What's on your mind?What's on your mind?Make an announcement, speak your mind, or sell somethingPost something